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	<title>Comments on: How to Save Time and Lose Money</title>
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	<link>http://jumponcontact.com/2010/01/how-to-save-time-and-lose-money/</link>
	<description>The fascinating world of EVE Online, explored and explained.</description>
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		<title>By: drew</title>
		<link>http://jumponcontact.com/2010/01/how-to-save-time-and-lose-money/comment-page-1/#comment-137</link>
		<dc:creator>drew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 17:40:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jumponcontact.eatthepath.com/?p=71#comment-137</guid>
		<description>Thanks for the clarification! I&#039;m obviously not a business person, and I really appreciate your explanation of what the difference is. I&#039;d been using arbitrage colloquially, and I&#039;m glad I have a better sense now of what it means technically.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for the clarification! I&#8217;m obviously not a business person, and I really appreciate your explanation of what the difference is. I&#8217;d been using arbitrage colloquially, and I&#8217;m glad I have a better sense now of what it means technically.</p>
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		<title>By: minderbender</title>
		<link>http://jumponcontact.com/2010/01/how-to-save-time-and-lose-money/comment-page-1/#comment-125</link>
		<dc:creator>minderbender</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Mar 2010 14:29:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jumponcontact.eatthepath.com/?p=71#comment-125</guid>
		<description>I think the term is bid-ask spread, not arbitrage.  Arbitrage refers to simultaneous (or close to simultaneous) buying and selling for profit.  That&#039;s not possible where the highest price at which you can sell is lower than the lowest price at which you can buy.  I&#039;m not saying you can&#039;t make money in the way you suggest, it&#039;s just not arbitrage.

A classic example of arbitrage would be this:  corporation X is about to purchase corporation Y in a merger.  Corporation X will pay 1 share of its stock for every 2 shares of Y&#039;s stock.  Right now X stock is trading at $15 and Y stock is trading at $25.  What you do is sell (let&#039;s say) 100 shares of X stock and buy 200 shares of Y stock.  So you&#039;ve gained $600 (for the X stock) and paid $500 (for the Y stock).  You are $100 ahead, and once the merger goes through you will have no position in either stock (the 200 shares of Y stock turn into 100 shares of X stock, canceling out the shares that you sold earlier).

This is called merger arbitrage, and it&#039;s risky because if the merger doesn&#039;t go through then you could lose a lot of money.  But note that this is the extent of your risk.  If X stock and Y stock lose 90% of their value before the merger, you don&#039;t care (as long as the merger goes through on its original terms).  This is the purpose of arbitrage:  to lock in profits and exclude most risks.

This is the stuff that LTCM was engaged in before it went down.  But it&#039;s not scandalous, it&#039;s just something that can go wrong if you don&#039;t calculate the risks correctly.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think the term is bid-ask spread, not arbitrage.  Arbitrage refers to simultaneous (or close to simultaneous) buying and selling for profit.  That&#8217;s not possible where the highest price at which you can sell is lower than the lowest price at which you can buy.  I&#8217;m not saying you can&#8217;t make money in the way you suggest, it&#8217;s just not arbitrage.</p>
<p>A classic example of arbitrage would be this:  corporation X is about to purchase corporation Y in a merger.  Corporation X will pay 1 share of its stock for every 2 shares of Y&#8217;s stock.  Right now X stock is trading at $15 and Y stock is trading at $25.  What you do is sell (let&#8217;s say) 100 shares of X stock and buy 200 shares of Y stock.  So you&#8217;ve gained $600 (for the X stock) and paid $500 (for the Y stock).  You are $100 ahead, and once the merger goes through you will have no position in either stock (the 200 shares of Y stock turn into 100 shares of X stock, canceling out the shares that you sold earlier).</p>
<p>This is called merger arbitrage, and it&#8217;s risky because if the merger doesn&#8217;t go through then you could lose a lot of money.  But note that this is the extent of your risk.  If X stock and Y stock lose 90% of their value before the merger, you don&#8217;t care (as long as the merger goes through on its original terms).  This is the purpose of arbitrage:  to lock in profits and exclude most risks.</p>
<p>This is the stuff that LTCM was engaged in before it went down.  But it&#8217;s not scandalous, it&#8217;s just something that can go wrong if you don&#8217;t calculate the risks correctly.</p>
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